2010 Southeastern Conference Tournament Preview
NCAA Basketball Betting Lines
03/09/2010 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The competition level will be through the
roof in Nashville this week, as all 12 SEC teams will compete in the 51st
annual conference tournament. On the line is an automatic bid to the NCAA
Tournament, and the majority of the teams in the league are well aware that
their hopes of earning a ticket to the "Big Dance" depend solely on winning
this event.
Kentucky has won more SEC Tournament titles than all of the other conference
members combined, and the Wildcats enter this year's field as the top seed
from the East Division. The Wildcats will attempt to capture their first crown
since 2004, but they figure to be a top seed in the NCAA Tournament regardless
of their finish in this event. The East Division is considerably stronger than
the West, as it can be argued that the best four teams in the SEC all come
from the East. Vanderbilt (E-2), Tennessee (E-3) and Florida (E-4) are all
capable of knocking off Kentucky and winning this tournament. Vanderbilt and
Tennessee have the necessary records to reach the NCAA Tournament without
winning this league tourney. In regard to the West, even top-seeded
Mississippi State has a shaky resume' and needs to cut down the nets in
Nashville. The lone team in the field that has never won the SEC Tournament is
South Carolina. The first round of this event begins on Thursday, as the third
through sixth seeds in both divisions will be in action. The top two seeds in
both divisions will open play on Friday, March 12th, in the quarterfinal
round, and after semifinal action on Saturday, the championship game will be
played on "Selection Sunday".
The first of four first-round games pits the Alabama Crimson Tide (W-4)
against the South Carolina Gamecocks (E-5). Alabama has won this tournament
six times, the second most in the league, but the last crown was captured way
back in 1991. Still, the Tide is 57-43 in this event. South Carolina, as
mentioned, is still in search of its first title, and the Gamecocks are 16-18
in SEC Tournament affairs. Alabama beat South Carolina by nine points in the
only regular-season meeting between the teams. The Crimson Tide depend heavily
on their defense to win games, as they are second in the conference in scoring
defense (64.6 ppg). Mikhail Torrance (15.4 ppg, 5.3 apg) and JaMychal Green
(14.3 ppg, 7.0 rpg) are clearly the two best players on the roster for 'Bama.
As for South Carolina, it possess the league's leading scorer in Devan Downey
(22.6 ppg), and the senior is also handing out 3.5 apg. Unfortunately, the
Gamecocks are last in the league in free-throw percentage, assists and
rebounding margin.
Tennessee (E-3) and LSU (W-6) are slated to do battle on Thursday afternoon in
what may be the most lopsided matchup of the first round. The Vols have won
the SEC Tournament four times, but it has been 31 years since their last
title. Last season, Tennessee reached the championship game, only to fall to
Mississippi State in a 64-61 final. As for LSU, it captured its lone SEC crown
back in 1980, so it can certainly relate to Tennessee's long wait for a
championship. The Vols and Tigers played just once during the regular season,
and Tennessee escaped Baton Rouge with a five-point win. The Vols own the
second-best scoring margin in the SEC (+9.8 ppg), surprising considering the
fact that they don't possess a single player ranked in the top 20 in the
league in scoring. Tennessee is the top team in the conference when it comes
to defending the three-point shot. As for LSU, it finished 2-14 versus SEC
opponents during the regular season, but the team did close out the campaign
with a victory and may enter this tournament with some confidence.
Unfortunately, the Tigers completely lack depth and are the lowest-scoring
team in the SEC (61.9 ppg) despite boasting two of the league's top 13
scorers, including Tasmin Mitchell (17.0 ppg, 9.5 rpg).
The Florida Gators (E-4), will do battle with Auburn (W-5) in the first round.
A 20-win season used to assure teams from major conferences a berth in the
NCAA Tournament, but teams are playing more games than ever, so Florida needs
to play well in this event to punch its ticket to the "Big Dance". The Gators
own a 32-41 all-time record in this event, but they captured three straight
titles from 2005 through 2007, so the majority of their success has been
recent. As for Auburn, it has struggled in the SEC Tournament, posting a 27-46
record, and the program's lone championship came back in 1985. The Gators beat
the Tigers by eight points in the only meeting between the teams during the
regular season. The fact that Florida is able to field a starting lineup with
five double-digit scorers is impressive. The Gators are last in the league in
blocked shots but tops in assist/turnover ratio. Auburn is the worst defensive
team in the SEC, allowing 74.0 ppg on 45.5 percent shooting by opponents. The
Tigers possess the sixth and seventh ranked scorers in the league in DeWayne
Reed (16.1 ppg) and Tay Waller (15.9 ppg).
Rounding out the pairings in the first round will be the Arkansas Razorbacks
(W-3) and the Georgia Bulldogs (E-6). Arkansas is 20-17 all-time in this event
and won its lone title back in 2000. As for Georgia, it has two championships
to its credit, the most recent of which was earned in 2008. The Razorbacks
beat the Bulldogs by four points on the road in the only regular-season
meeting between the clubs. Arkansas is ranked 11th out of 12 SEC teams in
scoring defense, and the team is last in three-point percentage defense.
Rotnei Clarke leads the Razorbacks with 15.5 ppg, and Marshawn Powell is close
behind with 15.1 ppg. Georgia's top performer is Trey Thompkins (17.7 ppg, 8.2
rpg), who ranks second in the SEC in scoring and fourth in rebounding. His
Bulldogs are 11th in scoring margin among conference teams, however, and they
are last in turnover margin.
The winner of the South Carolina/Alabama matchup will advance to the
quarterfinal round to face Kentucky. The Wildcats have won this event 25 times
and own a 111-22 record in SEC Tournament games. Still, they haven't cut down
the nets since 2004 and haven't reached the title game since 2005. Kentucky
leads the conference in many statistical categories, including scoring offense
(79.9 ppg), scoring margin (+14.4 ppg), field goal percentage (.478), field
goal percentage defense (.382), rebounding margin (+9.1 rpg) and assists (14.9
apg). Freshman sensation John Wall is averaging 17.0 ppg to go along with a
league-best 6.2 apg, and fellow rookie star DeMarcus Cousins checks in with
15.9 ppg, 10.1 rpg and 1.8 bpg. Don't forget about Patrick Patterson and his
15.0 ppg and 7.6 rpg.
The second quarterfinal game to be played on Friday pits the Ole Miss Rebels
(W-2) against either LSU or Tennessee. Ole Miss won its only SEC championship
in 1981, and the team's 23-46 conference record is far from impressive.
Rebels' standout guard Chris Warren ranks third in the SEC in scoring with
17.2 ppg and ninth in assists (3.4 apg). Ole Miss is second in the league in
scoring with 78.4 ppg, and the team shoots the ball efficiently from three-
point range. The Rebels are second in assist/turnover ratio and have the
talent in place to make a run in this event.
Mississippi State (W-1) awaits the winner of the Auburn/Florida matchup, and
that quarterfinal matchup figures to be competitive regardless of the pairing.
MSU is the defending champion of this event as mentioned, and the program has
three titles to its credit. Still, its 25-46 record at this event all-time is
poor. The man to watch for the Bulldogs is star forward/center Jarvis Varnado,
who recently became the NCAA's all-time leader in blocked shots. In addition
to his 4.8 rejections per outing, Varnado also paces the conference in
rebounding (10.6 ppg) and is scoring 13.5 ppg as well. Mississippi State is
the best defensive team in the league in regard to scoring defense (64.4 ppg),
and the club is limiting opponents to 38.4 percent shooting from the field.
Dee Bost is a tremendous distributor at point guard who ranks second in the
SEC in assists (5.4 apg).
The Vanderbilt Commodores (W-2) will play either Georgia or Arkansas in the
quarterfinals. Vandy's lone SEC Tournament title was earned way back in 1951,
by far the longest drought of any of the teams that have won the crown. The
Commodores are 29-47 in the event, but this year's team is one of the best in
recent memory. Vanderbilt is the best free-throw shooting team in the
conference, and that asset could certainly prove critical in close tournament
games. While the Commodores do lack the type of player capable of taking a
game over at the offensive end, there are three double-digit scorers in the
fold. Jermaine Beal (14.7 ppg), A.J. Ogilvy (13.9 ppg) and Jeffery Taylor
(13.9 ppg) provide plenty of balance to the lineup.
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NFL owners, already life's biggest winners, want to try their luck with the lottery.
That was the news out of their meetings last week, where team bosses voted unanimously to allow stamping state and local lottery tickets with franchise logos, if, ahem, any governments wanted to do a deal.
A shocker: Within days the Pats announced they'd be sponsoring the Massachusetts state lottery, the Skins said they'd slap their sticker on Virginia scratch-offs and the Ravens admitted they were talking to Maryland lottery bosses. In all likelihood, it won't be long before every team is a presenting sponsor of scratch-offs or just plain old pick fives. "The change in policy was approved 32-0," said NFL spokesman Greg Aiello. "So you can expect to see more deals soon."
It's a branding opportunity too big for the owners to ignore, and one a couple of dozen baseball franchises have enjoyed for years. The fact the NFL has been slower to act than those slack-brained Seligites is indicative of its complicated relationship with all forms of gambling. Consider this: Last Thursday, as the Pats and the Redskins finalized their new lottery deals, a lawyer representing the NFL argued before Delaware's Supreme Court that the state's newly signed sports betting law should be repealed.
The NFL betting is the face of opposition to sports gambling . And as much as it would like to share that responsibility with other leagues, that's not going to happen as long as more than 40% of all money legally wagered on games is bet on football. That's why the Brewers can do a multi-million dollar deal with a local casino, or the Celtics can make their own pact with the Mass lottery, and the response is, "Sweet, let's play." But when the NFL does it the stakes are higher, and everyone from NPR's Frank Deford to the Associated Press to the guys blogging at Deadspin will line up to play gotcha.
So I asked Aiello, who surely knew there'd be piling on, how the league can rail against being bait for sports bettors, then allow its franchises to be just that for lotteries, the most insidious and addictive form of gambling around. He emailed me this response: "We are not moral crusaders. NFL personnel are permitted to engage in legal forms of gambling, except for betting on NFL games. We are making a distinction here between the spread of gambling on the outcome of our games and supporting state lottery scratch-off games, that have nothing to do with the outcome of our games."
Here's where I should rip him. But, the thing is, he's right. Not to get Obama on you, but this is a complicated, nuanced issue. As much as lotteries are considered a tax on the poor, the NFL isn't a socially obligated government program -- it's just a business. Scratch-off's help the bottom line, sports betting doesn't.
Now, it's okay to call the league hypocritical when it releases injury reports, which players have told me only helps bettors … But when it supports other forms of gaming? Big Deal.
Now, it's okay to call the league hypocritical when it releases injury reports, which players have told me only helps bettors. And it's okay to mutter something obscene when the league pretends gambling doesn't help drive TV ratings and fan interest and put money in owners' pockets. But when it supports other forms of gaming? Big Deal. The Bears should put an orange "C" on every deck of cards dealt at Harrah's in Joliet; the Eagles should slap their logo on roulette wheels at the Borgata in Atlantic City; the Dolphins should hold training camp at the El San Juan in Puerto Rico.
Seriously.
The NFL's problem, when it comes to the gambling world, isn't hypocrisy, it's worse: The bosses lack vision. That's why the league is picking unwinnable fights in Delaware and taking pot shots from critics after making smart sponsorship deals. Roger Goodell and his gang are acting and thinking locally rather than globally, which is rare for them, especially compared to their professional (and amateur) counterparts.
The NBA held its All Star game in Las Vegas and David Stern's kingdom didn't crumble (although the town did bring plenty of players to their knees.) I'd say it's 6 to 5 and pick 'em that Lebron will make a road swing through Sin City before his career is over.
Even the NCAA College Football Betting is more progressive on this issue than the NFL. Several years ago Rachel Newman Baker, college sports' gambling czar, opened a dialogue with Vegas bookmakers to learn about how they do business. She's visited Nevada sports books, studied their operations and listened to how they regulate action. Now she knows she can expect a call from bookmakers, who lose money when sports are fixed, if they think something sketchy is going on in NCAA games. She's not in favor of sports betting, but, as she once told me, "I know it's not going away, either."
The NFL can't seem to accept that. And until it can find peace with the idea, it'll get flack, even when it's right.
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