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Habs hope to punch postseason ticket against rival Maple Leafs

Hockey Betting Lines

04/10/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Montreal Canadiens aren't playing like a team bound for the playoffs. That's because after their last performance, they aren't yet.

The Canadiens will try to fix that tonight at the Bell Centre in a meeting with the Toronto Maple Leafs that closes out the regular season for both clubs.

Montreal has gone 3-4-3 over its last 10 contests since a six-game winning streak. The club needed just one point on Thursday at Carolina to clinch a third straight trip to the postseason, but instead lost a 5-2 decision.

The Canadiens are tied with Boston for sixth in the Eastern Conference with 87 points, though the Bruins have a game in hand. Philadelphia and the New York Rangers are just a point back in eighth with a game to play as well.

Brian Gionta and Marc-Andre Bergeron both scored and Jaroslav Halak finished with 28 saves versus the Hurricanes for Montreal, which has lost two straight and is 20-16-4 at home this season.

"We didn't execute the game plan, we cheated, we gave way too many chances, we didn't play a good defensive game," Canadiens head coach Jacques Martin said.

Montreal will try to rebound tonight against a Toronto club that will finish last in the East. The Maple Leafs have 72 points and will post their lowest total since they finished with 1997-98 season with 69. Toronto will also miss the playoffs for a fifth season in a row, extending the longest postseason drought in franchise history.

The Maple Leafs have lost three in a row since a 9-3-1 stretch and have scored just two goals over their current skid. One of them came on Wednesday in a 5-1 setback to the New York Rangers.

Dion Phaneuf had the tally at the 8:09 mark in the third period and Jonas Gustavsson allowed all five goals, including three in the first period, on 32 shots. Toronto fell to 11-21-8 on the road this season.

"We're making a lot of rookie mistakes," Maple Leafs forward Viktor Stalberg said. "We're turning too many pucks over."

The Maple Leafs have recorded at least a point in all five meetings with the Canadiens this year. They are 2-0-3 in that span and have won three of their last four at the Bell Centre.


<< Host Lightning open home-and-home set with Panthers
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Though they are going to miss the playoffs for a third straight season, at least one player on the Lightning has something to play for over the regular season's final weekend. Steven Stamkos will try to stay in the hunt fo

<< Nuggets host Spurs in key Western Conference matchup
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Denver Nuggets hope to inch closer to a Northwest Division title and the second seed in the Western Conference tonight when they welcome the playoff-bound San Antonio Spurs to the Rocky Mountains. The Nuggets are comin

<< Warriors visit Clippers in Pacific Division tilt
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A few nights after becoming the all-time winningest coach in NBA history, Don Nelson will guide his Golden State Warriors into Hollywood tonight for a showdown with the Los Angeles Clippers at Staples Center. The Warriors

<< Mavs jockey for playoff position in Sacramento
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Fresh off clinching the Southwest Division title, the Dallas Mavericks get back to work on securing the Western Conference's second seed in Sacramento tonight. Dirk Nowitzki scored 23 of his 40 points in the second half on

<< Bucks host Celtics in possible playoff preview
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Celtics efforts to lock down the third seed in the Eastern Conference took a big hit last night. Things don't figure to get any easier for Doc Rivers' club, which invades Brew City to take on the Milwaukee Bucks in

Predators aim to get on track against Blues >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Nashville Predators will try to create a little momentum heading into the postseason this evening when they host the St. Louis Blues at Bridgestone Arena. The Predators are headed to the postseason for the fifth time i

Is this it? Modano, Stars visit Wild >>
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Sedin hopes to keep pace in points race as Canucks host Flames >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Henrik Sedin will try to put himself into position to win his first-ever scoring title tonight when his Vancouver Canucks host the Calgary Flames at GM Place in both team's regular-season finale. This game has little meani

Rockies hope for some more home cooking against Padres >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Colorado Rockies were awfully tough to beat at Coors Field during last season's march to the playoffs. If Friday's home opener was any indication, that may be the case again in 2010. The Rockies will try to follow up a

Giants try to stay unbeaten against Braves >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Baseball's lone remaining unbeaten team takes a shot at another win when the surging San Francisco Giants play the middle test of a three-game series with the Atlanta Braves tonight at AT&T Park. San Francisco is off t

Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.