Pirates, Brewers renew rivalry in Steel City
Baseball Betting Lines
07/19/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pittsburgh Pirates are coming off perhaps their most
complete victory of the season. They'll need that momentum given their
struggles versus the Milwaukee Brewers this season.
The Pirates will try to snap a four-game skid to the Brewers and beat the club
for just the fourth time in 12 meetings this season in the opener of a four-
game series tonight at PNC Park.
Milwaukee's season looked to be in good shape given how it performed versus
Pittsburgh earlier this season. The Brewers won their first four games versus
the Pirates -- all in April -- by a 53-4 margin before losing three in a row
to the Buccos. However, the Brewers have countered with another four-game win
streak over Pittsburgh, sweeping a three-game set in Milwaukee from July 9-11
in the most recent meeting.
The Pirates, who have lost four of five at home to the Brew Crew this season,
seem to be putting things together though after a seven-game overall slide.
They outscored the Astros, 21-6, in taking the final two contests of a three-
game weekend series, winning Sunday's finale 9-0 behind a season-high 19 hits
and a three-hit shutout by starter Paul Maholm.
Maholm did not permit a runner past first base, allowing just three singles
while notching the second shutout of his career.
"Everything was good. I threw one slider all day," commented Maholm about his
outing during which he retired the side in order five times. "I mixed speeds
with the curveball and the sinker. I threw a few changeups. They were
aggressive, so I kept the ball down and let them beat it into the ground."
Ronny Cedeno had four hits, including three doubles, and scored twice, Ryan
Doumit had a trio of hits and Garrett Jones hit a two-run homer, the Pirates'
first with a man on base since June 8 that ended a streak of 1,097 straight
at-bats. That was the longest such run since the Astros in 1984.
The Pirates won for the seventh time in their last nine home games, but did
see center fielder Andrew McCutchen suffer a sprained right shoulder after
making a diving catch in the eighth inning that has him day-to-day.
Right-hander Jeff Karstens will be looking tonight to avenge a loss to the
Brewers in his last outing, a July 10 loss in which he gave up four runs on
five hits and a career-high six walks. He also fanned five, but gave up back-
to-back homers to Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder in the five-inning start.
The 27-year-old fell to 2-4 with a 4.87 earned run average on the season and
0-2 with a 4.01 ERA in eight career games versus Milwaukee, five of those
starts.
Braun and Fielder both contributed at the plate on Sunday versus Atlanta, but
Milwaukee still dropped an 11-6 decision. Fielder hit his 22nd homer of the
season -- a solo blast -- while Braun had three hits and drove in a run.
Rickie Weeks added a pair of home runs, giving him a career-high 17 on the
season which is also a Brewers single-season record by a second baseman.
However, starter Manny Parra allowed 10 runs -- five in the third inning --
over 5 1/3 frames to suffer the loss.
Milwaukee had won five of six coming in.
"We didn't get the job done but I thought we played good baseball. Sometimes
it goes that way, but we have something to build off of. We got another great
team over there and we split [the four-game series] with them," Weeks said.
With Doug Davis on the disabled list due to left elbow tendinitis, 31-year-old
Chris Capuano will get another chance to end his franchise-record 13-decision
losing streak that dates back to the 2007 season.
Capuano pitched for the first time since that season on June 3 after returning
from dual Tommy John surgeries and the left-hander made the start versus the
Marlins. However, he took the loss after giving up three runs over 3 2/3
innings and has since made seven relief outings without a decision.
Capuano, who hasn't won since May 7, 2007, is pitching to a 4.35 ERA this year
and recorded two outs while working around a hit versus the Pirates on July 9.
In 12 career meetings versus the club, including 11 starts, he is 2-6 with a
6.34 ERA.
<< Mets' Pelfrey seeks turnaround against Diamondbacks
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After winning 10 of his first 15 starts of the season, New
York Mets right-hander Mike Pelfrey has fallen on hard times. Pelfrey will try
to bounce back when he takes the mound Monday in the opener of a three-game
series agai
<< Dodgers head home to face Giants
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After getting swept in four games at St. Louis over the
weekend, the Los Angeles Dodgers are back at home and will try to regroup in
tonight's opener of a three-game set versus the NL West-rival San Francisco
Giants at Chavez
<< Jimenez goes for win No. 16 in south Florida
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Both the Rockies and Marlins have struggled on offense in
the second half. Given Tuesday's pitching matchup, neither team is likely to
break out at the plate on Monday night.
National League All-Star starter Ubaldo Ji
<< Phillies aiming to get on track against first-place Cardinals
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia Phillies have handled the St. Louis
Cardinals pretty conveniently the past few years. That may change when the
struggling Phils pay a visit to Busch Stadium Monday for the first of four
consecutive matchups w
<< Cubs hope to stay hot versus Astros
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The confidence level in the Windy City has to be high after
how easily the Chicago Cubs handled the two-time defending National League
champion Philadelphia Phillies this weekend at Wrigley Field.
Chicago's chances of keep
Mitchell and Krystkowiak join Avery Johnson in Jersey >>
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former NBA head coaches Sam Mitchell
and Larry Krystkowiak have been named assistants for Avery Johnson with the
New Jersey Nets.
John Loyer, Popeye Jones and Tom Barrise were also named to Johnso
Breakers claim third successive win >>
Cambridge, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Breakers earned their third
straight win on Sunday as they downed the Washington Freedom, 2-1, at Harvard
Stadium.
The Freedom took the lead just two minutes into the game through N
Four finalists return to Buck Buchanan Award Watch List >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The race for the 2010 Buck Buchanan Award,
sponsored by Fathead.com, kicked off Monday with The Sportsbook Betting Lines's
announcement that four finalists from last season are part of a stellar 20-
player Watch List f
Valero returns to Spain with Villarreal >>
Villarreal, Spain (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - West Bromwich Albion have cut their
losses on Borja Valero after allowing the midfielder to return to Spain with
Villarreal.
Valero, 25, joined the Baggies from Mallorca for a club record $7 mill
Barbosa key to Raptors' team concept >>
Toronto, Canada (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Toronto Raptors are moving in a new
direction, the focus no longer on the talents of Chris Bosh, but on a
collective approach to playing the game.
Bosh recently joined LeBron James and Dwyane Wade in
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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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