Shelton ousts Spieth, Lister at U.S. Junior
Golf Betting Lines
07/22/2010 -
Ada, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Robby Shelton scored an upset victory over 2009
champion Jordan Spieth in Thursday's second round, then bettered Andrew Lister
in the third round to advance to the quarterfinals of the U.S. Junior Amateur
Championship.
Shelton fended off Spieth with a 1-up victory. In the afternoon, he took down
Lister by a 3 & 1 margin. Shelton advanced to face Anthony Paolucci.
Paolucci rolled over Andrew Fogg, 4 & 3, in the morning, before besting
Charles Martin, 2 & 1, in round three.
Denny McCarthy knocked out stroke-play medalist Curtis Thompson with a 3 & 2
win in the second round. McCarthy held off Devon Purser for a 1-up victory in
round three.
McCarthy will face Richard Jung in the quarterfinals. Jung rolled Sam Straka
by a 5 & 3 margin in round two. In the afternoon, Jung took down Ben
Warnquist, 3 & 2.
Scott Wolfes had a pair of close matches Thursday. He beat Aaron Kunitomo 2-up
in the morning, then needed 19 holes to take down Zachary Wright. Wolfes will
battle Justin Thomas in the quarters.
Thomas blitzed Khaled Attieh, 5 & 3, and came back with a 2-up win over Jorge
Fernandez Valdez.
The last quarterfinal match pits Gavin Hall against Jim Liu. Hall hung on for
a 1-up win over Alexander Schauffele in the second round, before routing
Jonathan Garrick, 5 & 3.
Liu had two easy wins Thursday. He trounced Davis Womble, 8 & 7, in round two.
In the third round, Liu cruised to a 4 & 3 win over Cody Proveaux.
The third round was completed early Thursday evening at Egypt Valley Country
Club after a lengthy weather delay.
The quarterfinal and semifinal matches are on tap for Friday and the 36-hole
championship final is slated for Saturday.
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when he's expected to express his wishes to be traded.
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Everton midfielder Dan Gosling to a four-year contract on Thursday.
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Premier League
Chelsea's Alex to miss start of season >>
London, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chelsea defender Alex will miss the start
of the English Premier League season with a thigh injury that will sideline
for one month, the club announced on Thursday.
Alex was injured in training, joini
Westermann signs five-year deal with Hamburg >>
Gelsenkirchen, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Heiko Westermann finalized his move
from Schalke to Hamburg on Thursday, as the German defender signed a five-year
deal with his new club.
Westermann, 26, had 12 goals in 92 matches for Schalke. H
Hamburg loans striker Berg to PSV >>
Hamburg, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Hamburg loaned 23-year-old striker Marcus
Berg to Dutch side PSV Eindhoven on Thursday.
Berg joined PSV on a one-year loan deal. PSV is coached by former Schalke boss
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Mariners deal minor league INF Hannahan to Red Sox >>
Seattle, WA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Seattle Mariners traded minor league
infielder Jack Hannahan to the Boston Red Sox for a player to be named later
or cash considerations.
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Pavano stretches unbeaten streak, blanks Orioles >>
Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Carl Pavano's remarkable campaign continued
against an American League bottom-feeder, as Minnesota blanked Baltimore, 5-0,
in the first of four games at Camden Yards.
One season removed from a 5-plus e
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
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